Potential tropical cyclone is a designation used by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins that enables for features of high likelihood of undergoing tropical cyclogenesis to have watches and warnings issued for them. The practice began in 2017.
Operationality The NHC defines a potential tropical cyclone as a disturbance which is not a tropical cyclone but is threatening to cause tropical storm or hurricane conditions to a landmass within 72 hours. Advisories related to potential tropical cyclones are the same as developed tropical cyclones. The advent of the designation allowed for issuance of tropical cyclone warnings and watches prior to the development of a tropical cyclone. Prior, those watches and warnings could only be issued for fully-formed tropical cyclones.
History The term was introduced for the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season with the aim of giving citizens more time to prepare for systems. At this point, disturbances were designated as such with a head time of 48 hours. The first system to be designated as a potential tropical cyclone was Tropical Storm Bret as it was moving towards the Windward Islands. In 2025, the leading time for designation was extended to 72 hours before expected impact.
Usage
See also Glossary of tropical cyclone terms Invest (meteorology) Post-tropical cyclone Tropical wave
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