In measure theory Prokhorov's theorem relates tightness of measures to relative compactness (and hence weak convergence) in the space of probability measures. It is credited to the Soviet mathematician Yuri Vasilyevich Prokhorov, who considered probability measures on complete separable metric spaces. The term "Prokhorov’s theorem" is also applied to later generalizations to either the direct or the inverse statements.
Statement Let ( S , ρ ) {\displaystyle (S,\rho )} be a separable metric space. Let P ( S ) {\displaystyle {\mathcal {P}}(S)} denote the collection of all probability measures defined on S {\displaystyle S} (with its Borel σ-algebra). Theorem.
If a collection K ⊂ P ( S ) {\displaystyle K\subset {\mathcal {P}}(S)} of probability measures is tight, then the closure of K {\displaystyle K} is sequentially compact in the space P ( S ) {\displaystyle {\mathcal {P}}(S)} equipped with the topology of weak convergence. The space P ( S ) {\displaystyle {\mathcal {P}}(S)} with the topology of weak convergence is metrizable. Suppose that in addition, ( S , ρ ) {\displaystyle (S,\rho )} is a complete metric space (so that ( S , ρ ) {\displaystyle (S,\rho )} is a Polish space). Then the converse of (1) also holds; hence K ⊂ P ( S ) {\displaystyle K\subset {\mathcal {P}}(S)} is tight if and only if its closure is sequentially compact. Moreover, there exists a complete metric d 0 {\displaystyle d_{0}} on P ( S ) {\displaystyle {\mathcal {P}}(S)} equivalent to the topology of weak convergence, and for this metric K ⊂ P ( S ) {\displaystyle K\subset {\mathcal {P}}(S)} is tight if and only if its closure in ( P ( S ) , d 0 ) {\displaystyle ({\mathcal {P}}(S),d_{0})} is compact.
Corollaries For Euclidean spaces we have that:
If ( μ n ) {\displaystyle (\mu _{n})} is a tight sequence in P ( R m ) {\displaystyle {\mathcal {P}}(\mathbb {R} ^{m})} (the collection of probability measures on m {\displaystyle m} -dimensional Euclidean space), then there exist a subsequence ( μ n k ) {\displaystyle (\mu _{n_{k}})} and a probability measure μ ∈ P ( R m ) {\displaystyle \mu \in {\mathcal {P}}(\mathbb {R} ^{m})} such that μ n k {\displaystyle \mu _{n_{k}}} converges weakly to μ {\displaystyle \mu } . If ( μ n ) {\displaystyle (\mu _{n})} is a tight sequence in P ( R m ) {\displaystyle {\mathcal {P}}(\mathbb {R} ^{m})} such that every weakly convergent subsequence ( μ n k ) {\displaystyle (\mu _{n_{k}})} has the same limit μ ∈ P ( R m ) {\displaystyle \mu \in {\mathcal {P}}(\mathbb {R} ^{m})} , then the sequence ( μ n ) {\displaystyle (\mu _{n})} converges weakly to μ {\displaystyle \mu } .
Extension Prokhorov's theorem can be extended to consider complex measures or finite signed measures. Theorem: Suppose that ( S , ρ ) {\displaystyle (S,\rho )} is a complete separable metric space and Π {\displaystyle \Pi } is a family of Borel complex measures on S {\displaystyle S} . The following statements are equivalent:
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