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Silver Thursday

Silver Thursday is a science topic covered in the lgStudy science library. This page brings together a partial reference excerpt, illustrations, worked examples, real-world applications and a short study plan, so you can understand Silver Thursday rather than just read about it. In short: Silver Thursday refers to the sharp collapse in the United States silver and silver futures markets on Thursday, March 27, 1980. The crisis followed a rapid rise in silver prices and the accumulation of a large long position by members of the Hunt family, principally Nelson Bunker Hunt and William Herbert Hunt, with Lamar Hunt involved to a lesser extent.

Silver Thursday — main illustration
Silver Thursday — illustration

Key takeaways

  • Silver Thursday belongs to science; place it in that map before memorising details.
  • Learn the definition first, then one example that makes the definition concrete.
  • Connect Silver Thursday to a quantity you can measure, compute or draw — that is where exam questions come from.
  • Reproduce the core statement of Silver Thursday from memory before moving on to harder problems.

Reference excerpt

Silver Thursday refers to the sharp collapse in the United States silver and silver futures markets on Thursday, March 27, 1980. The crisis followed a rapid rise in silver prices and the accumulation of a large long position by members of the Hunt family, principally Nelson Bunker Hunt and William Herbert Hunt, with Lamar Hunt involved to a lesser extent. The term is used both for the trading day itself and for the broader 1979–1980 silver crisis. By the end of 1979, Bunker Hunt, Herbert Hunt and the Hunt-related International Metals Investment Company controlled approximately 195 million troy ounces of silver. Silver, which had traded below $10 per troy ounce before August 1979, rose to $34.45 by December 31 and to more than $50 in January 1980. The price decline accelerated amid exchange actions that included stricter margin requirements, position limits and liquidation-only trading rules. As prices fell, the Hunts could not meet all demands for additional cash and collateral. On March 27, 1980, silver closed at $10.80 per ounce, Hunt-related positions were liquidated, and major brokers and lenders faced potential losses.

Background Nelson Bunker Hunt and William Herbert Hunt, sons of oilman H. L. Hunt, began acquiring silver in the early 1970s. According to a later report by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Bunker Hunt purchased an estimated 20 million troy ounces in late 1973, and Bunker and Herbert Hunt together accumulated about 50 million ounces by early 1974. The Hunts expanded their position substantially in 1979. From July 31, 1979, to January 1, 1980, the amount of silver controlled by Bunker Hunt, Herbert Hunt and International Metals Investment Company rose from about 123 million ounces to about 195 million ounces. During the same period, the market price rose from roughly $9 to about $35 per ounce, increasing the apparent value of the position from about $1.1 billion to about $6.8 billion. A major source of risk was leverage. About half of the Hunt-related position at the end of 1979 was held in silver futures rather than physical silver. Because futures contracts required only a margin deposit rather than full payment for the metal, a rapid fall in prices could produce very large margin calls. The futures commission merchants carrying the accounts were responsible to the exchanges if the Hunts failed to perform. Industrial users and jewelers objected to the price spike. On March 26, 1980, Tiffany & Co. ran an advertisement in The New York Times headed "Unconscionable", criticizing the hoarding of "several billion ... dollars' worth of silver" and the effect of high prices on businesses and consumers that used silver.

Exchange response and price reversal The principal U.S. silver exchanges responded in stages. The COMEX board held numerous special or emergency meetings during the rise in prices, while the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) remained in contact with the exchange. On January 7, 1980, COMEX imposed position limits on silver futures. On January 21, it limited trading in silver futures to liquidation orders and bona fide hedging transactions; the Chicago Board of Trade adopted a similar restriction. The restrictions coincided with a reversal in prices. On January 22, the spot silver price fell by about $10 to $34 per ounce. It traded between roughly $31 and $38.50 through early March, then fell again from $29.75 on March 10 to $10.80 on March 27. As prices fell, the Hunt-related accounts required large payments of variation margin. The Hunts also faced payment obligations on silver they had agreed to take delivery of, including transactions with Phibro and Engelhard.

Silver Thursday By late March 1980, several brokers carrying Hunt-related silver accounts were exposed to large losses. One of the most important was Bache Halsey Stuart Shields, later part of Prudential Securities. Bache had carried large Hunt silver positions and had also made silver-backed loans to Hunt entities. On March 25 and 26, 1980, Herbert Hunt told major creditors and brokers that the Hunts no longer had sufficient cash or collateral to meet margin calls. Bache continued to make required margin payments to clearinghouses even though it had not received corresponding funds from the Hunts. When silver fell sharply on March 27, Bache liquidated Hunt-related silver futures positions. At March 27 prices, the unsecured debit balance in Hunt accounts at Bache was about $122 million, an amount that would have severely reduced Bache's net worth. The SEC suspended trading in Bache common stock on March 27 because of the abrupt decline in silver prices and the resulting margin calls on Hunt accounts. Trading resumed on April 1. The SEC staff later concluded that the collapse threatened broader disruption because broker-dealers and banks with Hunt-related exposure could have suffered substantial losses.

Rescue loan After the collapse, a consortium of thirteen banks arranged a $1.1 billion loan to Placid Oil, a Hunt family company. The loan was secured by oil and gas properties, refineries and pipelines, and was guaranteed by Bunker Hunt, Herbert Hunt and Lamar Hunt. The loan helped satisfy obligations to brokers and lenders and reduced the risk of immediate failures at firms exposed to the Hunt accounts. The Hunts also resolved a large obligation to Engelhard by transferring interests in petroleum exploration assets and allowing Engelhard to retain silver collateral.

Investigations and litigation The SEC and CFTC investigated the events surrounding the silver crisis. The CFTC later brought market-manipulation proceedings against members of the Hunt family. In 1988, a federal jury found Bunker Hunt, Herbert Hunt, Lamar Hunt and other defendants liable in a civil action brought by Minpeco, a Peruvian mineral marketing company. The jury found that the defendants had conspired to corner the silver market. After trebling and offsets for earlier settlements, the judgment was reported at $134 million. The judgment added to financial pressure on the Hunts. In September 1988, Bunker Hunt and Herbert Hunt filed for protection under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code, among the largest personal bankruptcy filings in Texas at the time. In 1989, Bunker Hunt and Herbert Hunt settled CFTC charges; contemporary reports said they were fined and barred from trading commodities.

… excerpt ends here. Continue reading the full article.

Illustrations

Silver Thursday: Silver price history in 1960–2020 showing the Silver Thursday event in 1980
Silver price history in 1960–2020 showing the Silver Thursday event in 1980

Worked examples

Example 1 — a first encounter with Silver Thursday

Start with the simplest possible case. Write down what Silver Thursday claims or describes in one sentence, then invent the smallest concrete situation in which that sentence is true. In science, the smallest case is usually a single object, a single equation or a single measurement. Check that every symbol or term in your sentence has a meaning in that case.

Example 2 — changing one variable

Take the situation from Example 1 and change exactly one quantity: double it, halve it, or set it to zero. Predict what should happen to Silver Thursday before you calculate. Comparing your prediction with the result is the fastest way to find out whether you understand the idea or only the words.

Example 3 — an exam-style question

Typical questions about Silver Thursday ask you to (a) state it precisely, (b) apply it to given data, and (c) explain a limitation. Practise writing all three answers in under five minutes; the third part is what separates a full-mark answer from an average one.

Applications of Silver Thursday

In research
Silver Thursday appears in science research whenever the underlying quantities have to be modelled precisely. Papers usually cite it as a starting assumption and then explore where it breaks down.
In technology and industry
Engineering practice reuses Silver Thursday in design rules, simulations and safety margins. Knowing the idea lets you read a specification sheet and understand why the numbers look the way they do.
In the classroom
Silver Thursday is common in secondary-school and first-year university syllabi. It links to neighbouring topics Commodity markets, Economic bubbles, March 1980 in the United States, so understanding it makes those chapters shorter.
In everyday life
Look for Silver Thursday outside the textbook — in sport, cooking, traffic, electronics or the sky above you. An example you found yourself is remembered far longer than one you were given.

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How to study Silver Thursday in 20 minutes

  1. Read the reference excerpt below once, without taking notes.
  2. Close the page and write down what Silver Thursday means in your own words.
  3. Compare your version with the excerpt and mark what you missed.
  4. Work through the three examples above with pen and paper.
  5. Explain Silver Thursday out loud to somebody else — or to Teacher Smith in the lgStudy chat.

Frequently asked questions

What is Silver Thursday in simple terms?

Silver Thursday refers to the sharp collapse in the United States silver and silver futures markets on Thursday, March 27, 1980. The crisis followed a rapid rise in silver prices and the accumulation of a large long position by members of the Hunt family, principally Nelson Bunker Hunt and William…

Why does Silver Thursday matter?

Because it connects several science ideas at once: it gives you a definition you can apply, a quantity you can calculate, and a way to check whether a result is plausible.

How should I study Silver Thursday?

Read the excerpt, restate it from memory, then work through the examples and applications listed on this page. The five-step study plan above takes about twenty minutes.

What does this page cover?

It gives you a compact reference excerpt plus original lgStudy explanations, examples, applications and study material on Silver Thursday.

Tags

  • Commodity markets
  • Economic bubbles
  • March 1980 in the United States
  • Silver
  • Wealth in the United States

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