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The Age of Uncertainty

The Age of Uncertainty is a science topic covered in the lgStudy science library. This page brings together a partial reference excerpt, illustrations, worked examples, real-world applications and a short study plan, so you can understand The Age of Uncertainty rather than just read about it. In short: The Age of Uncertainty is a 1977 book and television series about economics, co-produced by the BBC, CBC, KCET and OECA, and written and presented by Harvard economist John Kenneth Galbraith. Background Galbraith fully acknowledged the successes of the market system in economics but associated it with instability, inefficiency and social inequity.

The Age of Uncertainty — main illustration
The Age of Uncertainty — illustration

Key takeaways

  • The Age of Uncertainty belongs to science; place it in that map before memorising details.
  • Learn the definition first, then one example that makes the definition concrete.
  • Connect The Age of Uncertainty to a quantity you can measure, compute or draw — that is where exam questions come from.
  • Reproduce the core statement of The Age of Uncertainty from memory before moving on to harder problems.

Reference excerpt

The Age of Uncertainty is a 1977 book and television series about economics, co-produced by the BBC, CBC, KCET and OECA, and written and presented by Harvard economist John Kenneth Galbraith.

Background Galbraith fully acknowledged the successes of the market system in economics but associated it with instability, inefficiency and social inequity. He advocated government policies and interventions to remedy these perceived faults. In his book Economics and the Public Purpose (1973) he proposed the extension of the planning system used in the industrial core of the economy to the wider market economy. He argued for a new socialism, with more steeply progressive taxes, public housing, medical care and transportation, public support of the arts and the conversion of some corporations and military contractors into public corporations. He was the most read social scientist of his era. Galbraith's association with the U.S. Democratic Party and his criticism of fellow economists, who promoted individualistic free-market economics that he perceived as a false social reality, occasioned strong responses. He was of the opinion that "Wealth is the relentless enemy of understanding". In the midst of the Watergate scandal in the summer of 1973 Galbraith was called by Adrian Malone of the BBC and asked if he would be interested in doing a television series on the history of economic or social ideas. Galbraith had been thinking of retirement but quickly accepted Malone's proposal. At an early point they settled on the title "Age of Uncertainty" to reflect the sharp contrast between the great certainty in 19th century economic thought with the much less assured views in modern times. As discussions about the series continued a further theme was developed: that what people believe about the workings of markets and their relationships to the state shapes history through the laws that are enacted or discarded. It was therefore decided that the treatment of these themes would loosely fall into two parts, ideas followed by their consequences.

Production The content of the series was determined by Galbraith with the presentation style directed by his colleagues in the BBC. Galbraith began by writing a series of essays from which the scripts were derived and from these the book emerged which in many places goes beyond the material covered in the relevant television episode. The series was three years in the making.

Series outline The Prophets and Promise of Classical Capitalism The Manners and Morals of High Capitalism Karl Marx The Massive Dissent The Colonial Idea Lenin and the Great Ungluing The Rise and Fall of Money The Mandarin Revolution The Fatal Competition The Big Corporation Land & the People The Metropolis Democracy, Leadership, Commitment Weekend in Vermont (three one-hour programmes in which Galbraith discusses economics, politics and international relations with guests such as Henry Kissinger, Georgy Arbatov and Edward Heath). These interviews are not covered in the book.

Reception The leader of the British Conservative Party, Margaret Thatcher, and Keith Joseph objected to the screening of the series by the BBC as they perceived it too biased for a publicly-owned TV station. Milton Friedman was brought over from Chicago to lecture against Galbraith's economic viewpoints with Nicholas Kaldor opposing him. The Daily Telegraph and The Spectator, publications associated with the Conservative Party, dismissed the series, while the Financial Times and The New York Times viewed it positively. Milton Friedman presented his own response to Galbraith in his series Free to Choose. Along with his other works Economics and the Public Purse and Money, The Age of Uncertainty reinforced Galbraith's stature as a major American economist who upheld and championed traditional Keynesian economics as opposed to the more free market and liberal economic theories of Milton Friedman.

Editions The Age of Uncertainty, John Kenneth Galbraith, BBC – Andre Deutsch, 1977, ISBN 0-563-12887-9

References Angus Burgin, Age of Certainty: Galbraith, Friedman, and the Public Life of Economic Ideas. In: Tiago Mata/Steven G. Medema (eds.), The Economist as Public Intellectual (= History of Political Economy, annual supplement), Durham 2013, pp. 191–219

Notes

External links The Age of Uncertainty at IMDb The Age of Uncertainty (book), at Internet Archive

Worked examples

Example 1 — a first encounter with The Age of Uncertainty

Start with the simplest possible case. Write down what The Age of Uncertainty claims or describes in one sentence, then invent the smallest concrete situation in which that sentence is true. In science, the smallest case is usually a single object, a single equation or a single measurement. Check that every symbol or term in your sentence has a meaning in that case.

Example 2 — changing one variable

Take the situation from Example 1 and change exactly one quantity: double it, halve it, or set it to zero. Predict what should happen to The Age of Uncertainty before you calculate. Comparing your prediction with the result is the fastest way to find out whether you understand the idea or only the words.

Example 3 — an exam-style question

Typical questions about The Age of Uncertainty ask you to (a) state it precisely, (b) apply it to given data, and (c) explain a limitation. Practise writing all three answers in under five minutes; the third part is what separates a full-mark answer from an average one.

Applications of The Age of Uncertainty

In research
The Age of Uncertainty appears in science research whenever the underlying quantities have to be modelled precisely. Papers usually cite it as a starting assumption and then explore where it breaks down.
In technology and industry
Engineering practice reuses The Age of Uncertainty in design rules, simulations and safety margins. Knowing the idea lets you read a specification sheet and understand why the numbers look the way they do.
In the classroom
The Age of Uncertainty is common in secondary-school and first-year university syllabi. It links to neighbouring topics 1970s British documentary television series, 1977 non-fiction books, BBC television documentaries, so understanding it makes those chapters shorter.
In everyday life
Look for The Age of Uncertainty outside the textbook — in sport, cooking, traffic, electronics or the sky above you. An example you found yourself is remembered far longer than one you were given.
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How to study The Age of Uncertainty in 20 minutes

  1. Read the reference excerpt below once, without taking notes.
  2. Close the page and write down what The Age of Uncertainty means in your own words.
  3. Compare your version with the excerpt and mark what you missed.
  4. Work through the three examples above with pen and paper.
  5. Explain The Age of Uncertainty out loud to somebody else — or to Teacher Smith in the lgStudy chat.

Frequently asked questions

What is The Age of Uncertainty in simple terms?

The Age of Uncertainty is a 1977 book and television series about economics, co-produced by the BBC, CBC, KCET and OECA, and written and presented by Harvard economist John Kenneth Galbraith. Background Galbraith fully acknowledged the successes of the market system in economics but associated it w…

Why does The Age of Uncertainty matter?

Because it connects several science ideas at once: it gives you a definition you can apply, a quantity you can calculate, and a way to check whether a result is plausible.

How should I study The Age of Uncertainty?

Read the excerpt, restate it from memory, then work through the examples and applications listed on this page. The five-step study plan above takes about twenty minutes.

What does this page cover?

It gives you a compact reference excerpt plus original lgStudy explanations, examples, applications and study material on The Age of Uncertainty.

Tags

  • 1970s British documentary television series
  • 1977 non-fiction books
  • BBC television documentaries
  • Books by John Kenneth Galbraith
  • Documentary television series about economics

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