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Time-series segmentation

Time-series segmentation is a science topic covered in the lgStudy science library. This page brings together a partial reference excerpt, illustrations, worked examples, real-world applications and a short study plan, so you can understand Time-series segmentation rather than just read about it. In short: Time-series segmentation is a method of time-series analysis in which an input time-series is divided into a sequence of discrete segments in order to reveal the underlying properties of its source. A typical application of time-series segmentation is in speaker diarization, in which an audio signal is partitioned into several pieces according to who is speaking at what times.

Key takeaways

  • Time-series segmentation belongs to science; place it in that map before memorising details.
  • Learn the definition first, then one example that makes the definition concrete.
  • Connect Time-series segmentation to a quantity you can measure, compute or draw — that is where exam questions come from.
  • Reproduce the core statement of Time-series segmentation from memory before moving on to harder problems.

Reference excerpt

Time-series segmentation is a method of time-series analysis in which an input time-series is divided into a sequence of discrete segments in order to reveal the underlying properties of its source. A typical application of time-series segmentation is in speaker diarization, in which an audio signal is partitioned into several pieces according to who is speaking at what times. Algorithms based on change-point detection include sliding windows, bottom-up, and top-down methods. Probabilistic methods based on hidden Markov models have also proved useful in solving this problem.

Overview of the segmentation problem It is often the case that a time-series can be represented as a sequence of discrete segments of finite length. For example, the trajectory of a stock market could be partitioned into regions that lie in between important world events, the input to a handwriting recognition application could be segmented into the various words or letters that it was believed to consist of, or the audio recording of a conference could be divided according to who was speaking when. In the latter two cases, one may take advantage of the fact that the label assignments of individual segments may repeat themselves (for example, if a person speaks at several separate occasions during a conference) by attempting to cluster the segments according to their distinguishing properties (such as the spectral content of each speaker's voice). There are two general approaches to this problem. The first involves looking for change points in the time-series: for example, one may assign a segment boundary whenever there is a large jump in the average value of the signal. The second approach involves assuming that each segment in the time-series is generated by a system with distinct parameters, and then inferring the most probable segment locations and the system parameters that describe them. While the first approach tends to only look for changes in a short window of time, the second approach generally takes into account the entire time-series when deciding which label to assign to a given point.

Segmentation algorithms

Hidden Markov Models Under the hidden Markov model, the time-series y 1 : T = ( y 1 , . . . , y T ) {\displaystyle {\boldsymbol {y}}_{1:T}=({\boldsymbol {y}}_{1},...,{\boldsymbol {y}}_{T})} is assumed to have been generated as the system transitions among a set of discrete, hidden states z ∈ { 1 , 2 , . . . , n } {\displaystyle z\in \{1,2,...,n\}} . At each time t {\displaystyle t} , a sample y t {\displaystyle {\boldsymbol {y}}_{t}} is drawn from an observation (or emission) distribution indexed by the current hidden state, i.e., y t ∼ P z t ( y t ) {\displaystyle {\boldsymbol {y}}_{t}\sim P_{z_{t}}({\boldsymbol {y}}_{t})} . The goal of the segmentation problem is to infer the hidden state at each time, as well as the parameters describing the emission distribution associated with each hidden state. Hidden state sequence and emission distribution parameters can be learned using the Baum-Welch algorithm, which is a variant of expectation maximization applied to HMMs. Typically in the segmentation problem self-transition probabilities among states are assumed to be high, such that the system remains in each state for nonnegligible time. More robust parameter-learning methods involve placing hierarchical Dirichlet process priors over the HMM transition matrix.

See also Step detection

References

Further reading Silva, Ricardo Petri; Zarpelão, Bruno Bogaz; Cano, Alberto; Junior, Sylvio Barbon (4 November 2021). "Time Series Segmentation Based on Stationarity Analysis to Improve New Samples Prediction". Sensors. 21 (21): 7333. Bibcode:2021Senso..21.7333S. doi:10.3390/s21217333. PMC 8587387. PMID 34770639.

Worked examples

Example 1 — a first encounter with Time-series segmentation

Start with the simplest possible case. Write down what Time-series segmentation claims or describes in one sentence, then invent the smallest concrete situation in which that sentence is true. In science, the smallest case is usually a single object, a single equation or a single measurement. Check that every symbol or term in your sentence has a meaning in that case.

Example 2 — changing one variable

Take the situation from Example 1 and change exactly one quantity: double it, halve it, or set it to zero. Predict what should happen to Time-series segmentation before you calculate. Comparing your prediction with the result is the fastest way to find out whether you understand the idea or only the words.

Example 3 — an exam-style question

Typical questions about Time-series segmentation ask you to (a) state it precisely, (b) apply it to given data, and (c) explain a limitation. Practise writing all three answers in under five minutes; the third part is what separates a full-mark answer from an average one.

Applications of Time-series segmentation

In research
Time-series segmentation appears in science research whenever the underlying quantities have to be modelled precisely. Papers usually cite it as a starting assumption and then explore where it breaks down.
In technology and industry
Engineering practice reuses Time-series segmentation in design rules, simulations and safety margins. Knowing the idea lets you read a specification sheet and understand why the numbers look the way they do.
In the classroom
Time-series segmentation is common in secondary-school and first-year university syllabi. It links to neighbouring topics Time series, so understanding it makes those chapters shorter.
In everyday life
Look for Time-series segmentation outside the textbook — in sport, cooking, traffic, electronics or the sky above you. An example you found yourself is remembered far longer than one you were given.

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How to study Time-series segmentation in 20 minutes

  1. Read the reference excerpt below once, without taking notes.
  2. Close the page and write down what Time-series segmentation means in your own words.
  3. Compare your version with the excerpt and mark what you missed.
  4. Work through the three examples above with pen and paper.
  5. Explain Time-series segmentation out loud to somebody else — or to Teacher Smith in the lgStudy chat.

Frequently asked questions

What is Time-series segmentation in simple terms?

Time-series segmentation is a method of time-series analysis in which an input time-series is divided into a sequence of discrete segments in order to reveal the underlying properties of its source. A typical application of time-series segmentation is in speaker diarization, in which an audio signa…

Why does Time-series segmentation matter?

Because it connects several science ideas at once: it gives you a definition you can apply, a quantity you can calculate, and a way to check whether a result is plausible.

How should I study Time-series segmentation?

Read the excerpt, restate it from memory, then work through the examples and applications listed on this page. The five-step study plan above takes about twenty minutes.

What does this page cover?

It gives you a compact reference excerpt plus original lgStudy explanations, examples, applications and study material on Time-series segmentation.

Tags

  • Time series

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