Tobin's q (or the q ratio, and Marris's v), is the ratio between a physical asset's market value and its replacement cost. It was first introduced by Robin Marris as a firm-level microeconomic variable in his 1964 book The Economic Theory of Managerial Capitalism, and was shortly afterwards further analysed by Richard Kahn in early drafts of his paper Notes on the Rate of Interest and the Growth of Firms (not published until 1972). Nicholas Kaldor in 1966, without acknowledgement to his Cambridge colleagues Marris and Kahn, repurposed the valuation ratio as a macroeconomic variable in his paper: Marginal Productivity and the Macro-Economic Theories of Distribution: Comment on Samuelson and Modigliani. It was popularised a decade later by James Tobin, who in 1970, described its two quantities as:
One, the numerator, is the market valuation: the going price in the market for exchanging existing assets. The other, the denominator, is the replacement or reproduction cost: the price in the market for newly produced commodities. We believe that this ratio has considerable macroeconomic significance and usefulness, as the nexus between financial markets and markets for goods and services.
Measurement
Single company Although it is not the direct equivalent of Tobin's q, it has become common practice in the finance literature to calculate the ratio by comparing the market value of a company's equity and liabilities with its corresponding book values, as the replacement values of a company's assets is hard to estimate:
Tobin's q = (Equity Market Value + Liabilities Market Value) (Equity Book Value + Liabilities Book Value) {\displaystyle {\frac {\text{(Equity Market Value + Liabilities Market Value)}}{\text{(Equity Book Value + Liabilities Book Value)}}}}
It is also common practice to assume equivalence of the liabilities market and book value, yielding:
Tobin's q = (Equity Market Value + Liabilities Book Value) (Equity Book Value + Liabilities Book Value) {\displaystyle {\frac {\text{(Equity Market Value + Liabilities Book Value)}}{\text{(Equity Book Value + Liabilities Book Value)}}}} . Even if market and book value of liabilities are assumed to be equal, this is not equal to the "Market to Book Ratio" or "Price to Book Ratio", used in financial analysis. The latter ratio is only calculated for equity values: Market to Book Ratio= Equity Market Value Equity Book Value {\displaystyle {\frac {\text{Equity Market Value}}{\text{Equity Book Value}}}} . Financial analysis also often uses the inverse of this ratio, the "Book to Market Ratio", i.e. Book to Market Ratio= Equity Book Value Equity Market Value {\displaystyle {\frac {\text{Equity Book Value}}{\text{Equity Market Value}}}}
For stock-listed companies, the market value of equity or market capitalization is often quoted in financial databases. It can be calculated for a specific point in time by number of shares × share price {\displaystyle {\text{number of shares}}\times {\text{share price}}} .
Aggregate corporations Another use for q is to determine the valuation of the whole market in ratio to the aggregate corporate assets. The formula for this is: q = value of stock market corporate net worth {\displaystyle q={\frac {\text{value of stock market}}{\text{corporate net worth}}}}
The following graph is an example of Tobin's q for all U.S. corporations. The line shows the ratio of the US stock market value to US net assets at replacement cost since 1900.
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