In probability and statistics, the truncated normal distribution is the probability distribution derived from that of a normally distributed random variable by bounding the random variable from either below or above (or both). The truncated normal distribution has wide applications in statistics and econometrics.
Definitions Suppose X {\displaystyle X} has a normal distribution with mean μ {\displaystyle \mu } and variance σ 2 {\displaystyle \sigma ^{2}} and lies within the interval ( a , b ) , with − ∞ ≤ a < b ≤ ∞ {\displaystyle (a,b),{\text{with}}\;-\infty \leq a<b\leq \infty } . Then X {\displaystyle X} conditional on a < X < b {\displaystyle a<X<b} has a truncated normal distribution. Its probability density function, f {\displaystyle f} , for a ≤ x ≤ b {\displaystyle a\leq x\leq b} , is given by
f ( x ; μ , σ , a , b ) = 1 σ φ ( x − μ σ ) Φ ( b − μ σ ) − Φ ( a − μ σ ) {\displaystyle f(x;\mu ,\sigma ,a,b)={\frac {1}{\sigma }}\,{\frac {\varphi ({\frac {x-\mu }{\sigma }})}{\Phi ({\frac {b-\mu }{\sigma }})-\Phi ({\frac {a-\mu }{\sigma }})}}}
and by f = 0 {\displaystyle f=0} otherwise. Here,
φ ( ξ ) = 1 2 π exp ( − 1 2 ξ 2 ) {\displaystyle \varphi (\xi )={\frac {1}{\sqrt {2\pi }}}\exp \left(-{\frac {1}{2}}\xi ^{2}\right)}
is the probability density function of the standard normal distribution and Φ ( ⋅ ) {\displaystyle \Phi (\cdot )} is its cumulative distribution function
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